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PARIS EUROPLACE
« European Financial Markets :
Opportunities for growth and value creation»
New York, le lundi 23 octobre 2006
Mr Chairman,
Ladies and Gentlemen,
Mesdames Messieurs,
Chers amis,
I would like first to thank all of you again for your invitation today. It is both an honour and a pleasure for me to be here once again together with you in New York and to deliver this statement on the occasion of your annual conference.
I would like to take this opportunity to tell you a story. Two years ago, some people might have called it a "fairy tale". It is about a country which has been addicted to fiscal deficits and increasing debt level for 25 years and which this year will have the most "virtuous" budget bill ever in an election year! No, no I am not talking of the US here !
It is also a story about a country with solid growth, a rising employment rate, and strong markets that are more efficient than ever. And France –this country- intends to affirm its competitiveness and modernity on the so-called “old continent” of Europe.
To tell you that story, I would like to go over two main issues. The first one will stress the solidity of the economic background we have in Europe, and in France in particular, today. Then I would like to share with you my vision of our financial markets and their upcoming regulatory and industrial future.
1. When you look at Europe today, what you see is economic strength and quite reasonable sustainable growth
France was the first of the major euro-zone countries to drop back to below the 3% deficit level. That was done last year. Now Germany, and tomorrow other Euro-zone countries, are well on their way and I hope they will also do it soon. We are sending a firm signal regarding our shared determination to put Europe’s economy back on a sounder basis.
The European economy brightened in the first half of the year. In the second quarter, French growth led the entire euro-zone at a very strong 4.8% ! This consolidation is not only welcome; I consider that it also constitutes a basis for a more structural rebound.
My strategy is to have Europe and France ready for tomorrow's challenges of the global economy: a post-demographic transition economy, a post-oil economy, an information and knowledge-based economy which today is the real engine of growth.
We have gone through majors reforms to that end. The Healthcare reform is completed. The pension reform is well under way. Labour market flexibility has been greatly improved. The very important tax reform we got approved last year will give working and investing in France a fantastic boost.
Last year I was surprised by the contrast in the newspapers between headlines on the French economy –especially at this very time-, which were unfairly negative, and bottom-line corporate stories that described correctly the consequences of the work we have done. I have to say that I feel more comfortable with the headlines today. First because they are more in line with reality. But most of all because they are more in line with what is really happening in France and in Europe.
I say it myself. But more important is that major outside observers are saying it also. Let us take a look at what they say :
Of course we must bear in mind that major uncertainties surround the international environment more than ever. But still.
We must therefore do everything in our power to sustain the current rebound. This is directly connected with the consolidation at work in our public finances.
I therefore set my new public deficit target for total public spending in 2007 at 2.5% of GDP, which is the level at which public debt ratio will stabilise itself (after 2.7% of GDP in 2006).
I am convinced we have set France in motion and in the right direction: our successors, whoever they are, will be unable to roll back.
I would like to stress these efforts have been achieved in a pre-election year. Even more noticeable is the eagerness of French people to know the cost of what candidates for the Presidency propose now. This is a clear demonstration of a deep change in how people feel in France, in particular regarding the public debt. I am personally fully committed to this process, as you know. I will certainly take major new initiatives in the weeks to come, as I did last week on the 35-hour workweek issue. I wanted to trigger a nation- wide debate on what I consider could be a true danger for our economy if the Socialists win the election – though I don’t believe this will happen. I want to be sure that all the relevant economic topics are correctly and clearly addressed by the different political forces. This is how I intend to play my role. Some may not like it but this is how I will force the campaign to focus on what I consider are key issues and how I will invite the candidates to tell the truth.
2- Against this background, how can we make sure that global financial market players find their way in Europe?
A key question we are facing today is to know how and where financial markets will accommodate their clients tomorrow. And what will be the applicable regulatory framework.
What does this whole process mean for our companies? First they can raise money easier, on a larger and more liquid market. Second they will face less red tape. This is also extremely important for foreign investors. Because I want France to remain at the top of the list of investment friendly countries. This is precisely why we did what we did on the takeover reform, where we have chosen the most competitive option…the most open one ! We have to build on the current situation where US investors are the leading foreign investors in France: with a total of $170 billion, they provide the French employment market with about half a million jobs. Let’s keep it that way!
I will make sure that the Paris financial community benefits to the maximum from this new framework. This is one of the key messages I would like you and all the Paris financial centre’s stakeholders to remember from our luncheon today.
As for legal implementation, my goals are to avoid what regulators call “gold plating”: in these complex matters, let’s keep regulation as simple as possible!
MIFID will really change concepts and practices, and allow for enhanced creativity and innovation. It will allow Multilateral trading platforms to develop. OTC operations will further develop as well, in a sound context. It is a major transformation for our European markets.
Does this mean business will turn from the current organized markets to new trading places?
I don’t think so. This structural change basically means that activity will be more intensive. New market opportunities will emerge. New actors will enter the field. And clients will be the main beneficiaries. We are entering a major innovative period.
As you know, France launched in 2002 a wide-ranging industrial strategy, focusing on the key factors of industrial competitiveness, particularly R&D-led innovation. In particular, "competitiveness clusters" (pôles de compétitivité) are designed to align efforts and to leverage growth in industrial activities and jobs. This will also strengthen the local communities involved. These clusters link industries, private and public laboratories, and universities. The young French entrepreneurs in this room are a testimony of the dynamics we want to affirm.
We have called for projects to benefit from the new support system. Europlace has responded in the last few months with an ambitious cluster project named “financial industry”. It is today my privilege to announce here that, following my proposal, the Prime Minister has just confirmed that this project will be recognized as a major cluster. The decision will be formalized at an upcoming Cabinet meeting.
This will give impetus to Paris as a worldwide financial centre. The idea, which you support, my dear Gerard Mestrallet, together with many French and American stakeholders I welcome here today, is to build on our competitive advantages. Just let me give you a few examples: this cluster will help to develop databases for management companies, research projects in market finance, derivatives and structured products, and financial analysis in private equity. Universities, research centres, management companies, banks will work together on these projects.
It is definitely a “hands-on” and “nuts and bolts” approach.
The future of Euronext, the European Federal Market is at stake now.
But when you want to marry, you have to accept your responsibilities, and to comply also with certain domestic rules. This is always necessary if you want to be a member of the family. And Euronext’s family is a large one. S
o I have only praise for Gerard Mestrallet, Europlace’s chairman and our host today, for having found the way to organise the market participant’s views on Euronext’s future. He commissioned Henri Lachmann to do a report on the existing stock exchange consolidation projects.
I would like today to commend Henri Lachmann for having stressed the advantages and drawbacks of each solution in a balanced and yet challenging way.
Of course, at the end of the day, it will be up to the shareholders to decide. They will choose the best offer, the one with the best value.
You are fully aware that this is a basic rule. When you manage a company you have a responsibility towards your shareholders. But you also have a responsibility towards your customers. You have a responsibility towards your people as well. And of course you have a responsibility vis-à-vis your stakeholders.
For my part, as Finance Minister in France, I am very much of the view that Gérard Mestrallet expressed: we fully support the Lachmann report conclusions.
Mr Chairman, you actually consider that none of the two existing projects is really satisfying at this time.
On one side, the Euronext- New York Stock Exchange project would create a truly transatlantic platform, at a time when the merger of the CME and the CBOT increases international competition. However, before any merger of Euronext and the New York Stock Exchange could take place, you call for an agreement on a more balanced governance between the European and the US side of this exciting project. You also expect an appropriate mechanism in order to avoid regulatory spill-over.
As regard to the Deutsche Börse project, you highlight that the two exchanges are built on very different structures, and you are probably right. On one hand, Euronext deals with trading securities and derivatives and has experienced many years of a pan-European culture of working together; on the other hand, Deutsche Börse operates only nationally. Its trading, clearing and settlement structures are very specific because they are vertically integrated.
For that reason, you, Mr Chairman, support the third scenario proposed by the Lachmann report, which suggests that Deutsche Börse would bring its cash equity activity to Euronext and become a shareholder of this multinational company. You also advocate pursuing negotiations with the New York Stock Exchange, with a view to securing a balanced agreement.
You then recognise that a transatlantic partnership would be a positive second step in this scenario. Associating new Euronext and the New York Stock Exchange obviously offers opportunities for the development of Euronext markets. We all know, my dear John Thain, that US financial markets are the most important in the world. A truly balanced transatlantic partnership would be a major market initiative. But it has to be built on the basis of a merger between equals; which –if I follow Henri Lachmann’s conclusions- is not the case in the current proposal.
In my opinion, there are three stages in this kind of process. The first one is dialogue : it took place over many months and led to the Lachmann report you endorse today. The last one is when the shareholders decide. It will take place within the appropriate bodies, based on the governance of the respective companies and on the quality of the offers including their acceptance by regulators.
Between the first and the third stage there is the current one : the time for thinking.
And to help in reaching the right decision, I will say only one more thing. In the complex environment in which we live, in the global economy we all share, there is a set of rules. And one of them is that you can’t build a business with a weak approval-rating from your customers and without the backing of your regulators. When you manage financial market companies, you don’t run counter to the market players. This is to be kept in mind by all decision-makers, and especially by those who can improve on their proposals. I personally very much hope that the decisions to be made will allow us to get a deal beneficial to the future of financial markets in both the US and in Europe.
To summarize, let me simply say that in the coming period, I expect Deutsche Börse and its shareholders to reconsider their position on what Henri Lachmann has proposed. And I also encourage the New York Stock Exchange and Euronext’s managements to take greater account of the issues Henri Lachmann raised in their working plan.
This is what I wanted to tell you today. My message is that we in France are fully confident in our ability to capitalize on the reforms we completed or engaged and the additional growth this lead to. I see a rising support on that in our public opinion. We are also committed to go forward in reform implementation and to further reforms in the next legislative mandate.
Thank for your attention. And I now open the floor for a few questions.
Seul le prononcé fait foi.
© Ministère de l’Économie, des finances et de l’industrie - 24/10/2006
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